A post by Frank Kaspar (Head of Climate and Data Analytics at EUMETSAT) caught my eye this week. It points to a new EUMETSAT use case that looks at more than 30 years of satellite climate records and asks how European weather behaved during the strongest El Niño events [1]. Their conclusion for the coming months: if this El Niño behaves like the six strongest since 1991, January to March 2027 is likely to be warmer and wetter than normal in Europe, in line with the ECMWF seasonal forecast. That is a big claim about a part of the world...